Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.044426 0.051939 0.060204 0.069956 0.081128 0.093507 0.108244
2025-03-09 0.033132 0.042931 0.054729 0.069905 0.088829 0.111558 0.140832
2025-03-16 0.024578 0.034956 0.048501 0.067308 0.092550 0.125035 0.169747
2025-03-23 0.020511 0.031654 0.047255 0.070382 0.103417 0.148455 0.213939
2025-03-30 0.016770 0.027922 0.044576 0.070784 0.110376 0.167195 0.253899
2025-04-06 0.013466 0.024094 0.040962 0.069021 0.113656 0.180775 0.287770
2025-04-13 0.011038 0.021128 0.038074 0.067740 0.117204 0.194791 0.323410
2025-04-20 0.009915 0.020135 0.038166 0.071157 0.128422 0.221520 0.381029
2025-04-27 0.008854 0.019029 0.037841 0.073724 0.138397 0.247097 0.439096
2025-05-04 0.007397 0.016863 0.035235 0.071810 0.140307 0.259377 0.476238
2025-05-11 0.006345 0.015295 0.033476 0.071139 0.144220 0.275249 0.520664
2025-05-18 0.005317 0.013562 0.031095 0.068888 0.144845 0.285236 0.555491
2025-05-25 0.004492 0.012131 0.029142 0.067292 0.146683 0.297885 0.596867
2025-06-01 0.003974 0.011314 0.028364 0.068013 0.153162 0.319762 0.657208
2025-06-08 0.003336 0.010056 0.026391 0.065864 0.153507 0.329917 0.696328
2025-06-15 0.003118 0.009845 0.026808 0.069085 0.165484 0.363933 0.784399
2025-06-22 0.002774 0.009209 0.026091 0.069587 0.171614 0.386727 0.852175
2025-06-29 0.002371 0.008309 0.024555 0.067905 0.172668 0.399135 0.899991
2025-07-06 0.002047 0.007562 0.023282 0.066670 0.174561 0.413407 0.952731
2025-07-13 0.001944 0.007487 0.023805 0.070053 0.187646 0.452831 1.061336
2025-07-20 0.001817 0.007303 0.023994 0.072591 0.198966 0.489302 1.166349
2025-07-27 0.001561 0.006613 0.022608 0.070707 0.199209 0.501054 1.218562
2025-08-03 0.001376 0.006121 0.021716 0.070048 0.202430 0.519811 1.287641